[2020 Poland Presidential Election]1st Round Globe Elections UN Final Projection/Prediction

Globe Elections United Network is officially projecting that Andrzej Duda and Rafal Trzaskowski will be facing in july run-off on the Poland presidential election. Including these two candidates, the main candidates of this election are projected to be getting the following vote share.

-Official(Polls+Error Cover) Final Projection/Prediction

Andrzej Duda(ZP/United Right – Right-wing) : 48.18% (Incumbent)

Rafal Trzaskowski(KO/Civic Coalition – Center Big Tent) : 24.06%

Szymon Hołownia(IND/Independent – Center) : 10.75%

Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz(KP/Polish Coalition – Lean-Right) : 6.69%

Krzysztof Bosak(KWiN/Confederation Freedom and Independence – Far-Right) : 4.81%

Robert Biedroń(LEWICA/The Left – Left-wing) : 2.44%

Other Candidates(OTH/Other Parties – Mixed) : 3.08%

According to this Final Projection/Prediction, President Duda is expected to win 13 out of 16 Voivodeships in Poland. The remaining 3 will be won by Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski.

Additionally looking at the Polls-only Projection/Prediction, the candidates finished as follows.

-Polls-only Final Projection/Prediction

Andrzej Duda(ZP/United Right – Right-wing) : 43.09% (Incumbent)

Rafal Trzaskowski(KO/Civic Coalition – Center Big Tent) : 28.89%

Szymon Hołownia(IND/Independent – Center) : 11.72%

Krzysztof Bosak(KWiN/Confederation Freedom and Independence – Far-Right) : 6.76%

Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz(KP/Polish Coalition – Lean-Right) : 5.15%

Robert Biedroń(LEWICA/The Left – Left-wing) : 3.67%

Other Candidates(OTH/Other Parties – Mixed) : 0.71%

According to polls-only Final Projection/Prediction, President Duda is expected to win 12 out of 16 Voivodeships in Poland. The remaining 4 will be won by Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski.

For more detailed information, please visit the following Spreadsheet.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13rs5BZW0NSRi2MAO9PPUh_q9RPXFACsUY93d2wl-MuM/

[2020 Taiwan Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu Recall Election]Final Results

Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu has been removed from office with 42.14% turnout and 97.40% agreeing to pass the recall motion. 969,259 out of the 2,299,981 registered voters has voted today. The recall has passed with a agreement rate of 97.40%(939,090/964,141). According to the official results by CEC, 2.60%(25,051/964,141) of the voters voted against to recall Han Kuo-yu.

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Spreadsheet Link For Projection/Prediction And Analysis :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1A6CVXzCCi4XZyeXvFGSSa-WxtWXboeSzstt0_zKctU8/

Official Results Link :

https://web.cec.gov.tw/central/cms/109news/33404

[2020 Taiwan Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu Recall Election]Final Projection/Prediction

Globe Elections United Network is projecting that Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu will be ousted with 41.82% turnout and 85.51% agreeing to pass the recall motion. 961,832 out of the 2,299,981 registered voters are expected to vote. The recall will pass with a agreement rate of 85.51%, or 822,433 people will agree for recalling Han Kuo-yu. According to GEUN projection, there will be 14.49% disagreement rate. This means that 139,399 voters will vote against the motion.

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Spreadsheet Link For Projection/Prediction And Analysis :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1A6CVXzCCi4XZyeXvFGSSa-WxtWXboeSzstt0_zKctU8/