[South Korea General Election]2020 September Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction

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According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in South Korea, we are projecting it is too close to call between DPK and UFP but the Democrats are slightly leading UFP at this stage. In the other hands, the Justice Party, People’s Party, Open Democrats would increase the seat numbers significantly compared to the last election. We are also putting the Progressives(Jinbo Party) up to a single seat.

_Poll+Error Projection

-Seat Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 140 Seats (-7 From August, -40 From Last Election)

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 125 Seats (+5 From August, +22 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 16 Seats (+1 From August +10 From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 10 Seats (+1 From August, +7 From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats (+0 From August, +6 From Last Election)

Progressive/Jinbo Party(JBP / Left-wing) : 0 Seats (+0 From August, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seats (+0 From August, -5 From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.22% (-1.00pp From August, -1.69pp From Last Election)

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 45.44% (+0.45pp From August, +3.53pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.93% (+0.29pp From August, +0.22pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.41% (+0.41pp From August, -1.51pp From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 38.00% (-0.35pp From August, +4.16pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 32.33% (-1.32pp From August, -2.86pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 11.15% (+0.61pp From August, +1.48pp From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 7.55% (+0.87pp From August, +0.75pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 6.64% (-0.89pp From August, +1.20pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.33% (+1.08pp From August, -6.58pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval

Approval48.31% (+1.14pp From August, -7.89pp From Last Election)

Disapproval51.69% (-1.14pp From August, +7.89pp From Last Election)

_Poll Only Projection

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.58%

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 34.38%

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 5.35%

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.20%

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 4.49%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.00%

-Presidential Approval

Approval50.38%

Disapproval49.62% 

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KQzI6Uh8rQJ5kUTsM8K_FxTJG2iWSydDK2qQiZeqNiY/

List of Nations For Working On Election Projections/Predictions : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

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