[United Kingdom General Election]2020 August Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction

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According to Globe Elections UN’s August Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives will remain as the largest party in the next parliament. In the most likeliest scenario, they’ll have a majority of 18 seats, meaning that the current PM Boris Johnson will possibly be re-elected. But the reason that we’re putting the Tories just simply as the largest party is they could still not have a majority.

_Poll+Error Projection(Full)

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 334 Seats (-7 From July, -31 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 229 Seats (+7 From July, +26 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 58 Seats (+0 From July, +10 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6 Seats (+0 From July, -5 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / The Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 4 Seats (+0 From July, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seats (+0 From July, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 18 Seats (+0 From July, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 41.73% (-1.15pp From July, -1.90pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 35.56% (+0.63pp From July, +3.40pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6.20% (-0.60pp From July, -5.35pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 6.06% (+0.73pp From July, +2.18pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 3.91% (-0.19pp From July, +1.21pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 1.53% (+0.90pp From July, +1.46pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / The Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 0.45% (-0.24pp From July, -0.03pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.56% (-0.08pp From July, -0.97pp From Last Election)

_Poll Only Projection

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 41.73%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 38.35%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6.54%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.93%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 4.06%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 1.56%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 0.46%Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.37%

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cPwBykQjWMhvWH_IXlUz_GjFJe2_XD8UYZw-WQyVSHw/

List of Nations For Working On Election Projections/Predictions : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

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