[South Korea General Election]2020 August Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction

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According to Globe Elections UN’s August Projection in South Korea, the Democrats will remain as the largest party, with the United Future Party following just behind. In the other hands, the Justice Party, Open Democrats, People’s Party would gain quite of seats. We are also putting the Progressives(Jinbo Party) up to 1 seat and there are still some possibilities that UFP comes over DPK.

_Poll+Error Projection

-Seat Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 147 Seats (-16 From July, -33 From Last Election)

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 120 Seats (+14 From July, +17 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 15 Seats (+3 From July, +9 From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats (-2 From July, +6 From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 9 Seats (+1 From July, +6 From Last Election)

Progressive/Jinbo Party(JBP / Left-wing) : 0 Seats (+0 From July, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seats (+0 From July, -5 From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 48.22% (-1.42pp From July, -1.69pp From Last Election)

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 44.99% (+1.87pp From July, +3.53pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.79% (+0.15pp From July, +0.08pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.00% (-0.60pp From July, -1.92pp From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 38.35% (+1.83pp From July, +4.51pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 33.65% (-0.78pp From July, +0.29pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 10.54% (+0.90pp From July, +0.87pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 7.53% (-1.16pp From July, +2.11pp From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 6.68% (-0.19pp From July, -0.12pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.25% (-0.60pp From July, -7.66pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval

Approval47.17% (-4.31pp From July, -9.03pp From Last Election)

Disapproval52.83% (+4.31pp From July, +9.03pp From Last Election)

_Poll Only Projection

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.42%

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 34.01%

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 6.64%

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.02%

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 4.45%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.46%

-Presidential Approval

Approval49.23%

Disapproval50.77% 

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OedGyyANVLSUlUEAMw3nJLvQrcJAR7cQhitZKcElN1o/

List of Nations For Working On Election Projections/Predictions : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

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