[Italy General Election]2020 August Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction

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According to Globe Elections UN’s August Projection in Italy, we are calling that it is too early to call for the control of the chamber of deputies. However, we are still putting opposition Center-Right Coalition narrowly over the governing Center Left Coalition+Five Star Movement by 4.63%p.

_Poll+Error Projection

-By Government/Opposition

Opposition : 50.71% (-0.68pp From July, +13.71pp From Last Election)

Government : 46.08% (+1.30pp From July, -12.42pp From Last Election)

Netural : 3.21% (-0.62pp From July, -1.29pp From Last Election)

-By Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX) : 50.71% (-0.68pp From July, +13.71pp From Last Election)

Center-Left Coalition(CSX) : 24.98% (+0.18pp From July, +2.55pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S) : 19.11% (+0.86pp From July, -13.57pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed – OTH) : 3.21% (-0.62pp From July, -1.29pp From Last Election)

The Left(LS) : 1.99% (+0.26pp From July, -1.40pp From Last Election)

-By Party

League(LN / Far-Right – CDX) : 29.72% (-2.22pp From July, +12.37pp From Last Election)

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 19.11% (+0.86pp From July, -13.57pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 16.45% (-0.03pp From July, -2.31pp From Last Election)

Brother of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 14.34% (+0.95pp From July, +9.99pp From Last Election)

Foward Italy(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 6.37% (+0.76pp From July, -7.63pp From Last Election)

Action(A / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.61% (+0.08pp From July NEW PARTY)

Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.57% (-0.65pp From July, NEW PARTY)

The Left(LS / Left-wing – LS) : 1.99% (+0.26pp From July, -1.40pp From Last Election)

More Europe(+E / Lean-Left – CSX) : 1.97% (+0.47pp From July, -0.59pp From Last Election)

Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.38% (+0.31pp From July, +0.80pp From Last Election)

Let’s Change!(C! / Center-Right – CDX) : 0.29% (-0.16pp From July, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed – OTH) : 3.21% (-0.62pp From July, -1.29pp From Last Election)

_Poll Only Projection

-By Government/Opposition

Government : 49.21%

Opposition : 47.76%

Netural : 3.03%

-By Coalition

Center-Right Coalition(CDX) : 47.76%

Center-Left Coalition(CSX) : 29.45%

Five Star Movement(M5S) : 16.80%

The Left(LS) : 3.26%

Others(OTH) : 3.03%

-By Party

League(LN / Far-Right – CDX) : 24.38%

Democratic Party(PD / Center-Left – CSX) : 20.32%

Five Star Movement(M5S / Big Tent – M5S) : 16.50%

Brother of Italy(FdI / Right-wing – CDX) : 15.63%

Foward Italy(FI / Center-Right – CDX) : 7.45%

The Left(LS / Left-wing – LS) : 3.26%

Action(A / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.66%

Italy Alive(IV / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.61%

More Europe(+E / Lean-Left – CSX) : 2.00%

Green Europe(EV / Left-wing – CSX) : 1.86%

Let’s Change!(C! / Center-Right – CDX) : 0.30%

Others(OTH / Mixed – OTH) : 3.03%

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1s3qfiM5NzZ6MLP-fkF2Nya5olRf3w1T0tNASdcsxOIQ/

List of Nations For Working On Election Projections/Predictions : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

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