[United States Presidential Election]2020 October Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s October Projection in the United States of America, we can project that former vice president Joe Biden will be elected as the next president. This also means incumbent president Donald Trump will be defeated.

_NATIONWIDE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Joe Biden(DP / Lean-Left) : 52.53% (-0.35pp From September, +4.49pp From Last Election)

Donald Trump(GOP / Right-wing Big Tent) : 45.43% (+0.76pp From September, -0.50pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.04% (-0.41pp From September, -3.99pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval Projection <Donald Trump>

Approval45.53% (-0.06pp From September)

Disapproval54.47% (+0.06pp From September)

_SWING BASE STATEWIDE PROJECTION

-Electoral Vote Projection

Joe Biden(DP / Lean-Left) : 334 E.V.s (-16 From September, +107 From Last Election)

Donald Trump(GOP / Right-wing Big Tent) : 204 E.V.s (+16 From September, -100 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 E.V.s (+0 From September, -7 From Last Election)

-Too Close To Call States

GA – Trump +0.31%p

NC – Biden +1.20%p

AZ – Biden +1.21%p

OH – Trump +3.45%p

FL – Biden +3.73%p

WI – Biden +4.11%p

PA – Biden +4.21%p

TX – Trump +4.35%p

MI – Biden +4.68%p

IA – Trump +5.00%p

-Other Key States

NH – Biden +5.29%p

MN – Biden +6.46%p

NV – Biden +7.42%p

ME – Biden +7.99%p

SC – Trump +9.82%p

CO – Biden +10.04%p

VA – Biden +10.43%p

AK – Trump +11.30%p

MO – Trump +14.49%p

KS – Trump +16.87%p

_POLL+SWING STATEWIDE PROJECTION

-Electoral Vote Projection

Joe Biden(DP / Lean-Left) : 350 E.V.s (-38 From September, +123 From Last Election)

Donald Trump(GOP / Right-wing Big Tent) : 187 E.V.s (+38 From September, -116 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 E.V.s (+0 From September, -7 From Last Election)

-Too Close To Call States

OH – Trump +0.62%p

IA – Trump +1.57%p

GA – Biden +1.67%p

NC – Biden +3.00%p

NV – Biden +3.26%p

AZ – Biden +3.53%p

FL – Biden +3.81%p

TX – Trump +4.89%p

-Other Key States

WI – Biden +5.18%p

SC – Trump +5.32%p

MI – Biden +6.59%p

PA – Biden +6.91%p

KS – Trump +8.76%p

MN – Biden +8.84%p

CO – Biden +10.04%p

NH – Biden +10.09%p

VA – Biden +10.43%p

AK – Trump +11.30%p

ME – Biden +14.17%p

MO – Trump +14.49%p

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ag3VShXV6-5dldEBSZTe3jcsObpYRPR8QVNsr0hLw4c/

Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

[2020 Virtual Election Night in USA]All Calculation Data

-Main Calculation Data (2020)

***Final Vote Totals Based On Our Progress Forecast (As of 09/24) , Partial Vote Totals Based On 2016 Election Results, All Vote Shares Based On Globe Elections UN Forecast (September)+2016 Election Situation.

-Past Calculation Data (2016)

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1cg3_fJIq_MU1IZMgOUu9Bv3AtaEpAf51ce__MgTEStM/

***Partial Results Based On 2016 CNN, MSNBC, PBS Election Coverage.

[South Korea General Election]2020 September Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction

_Video

_Headline

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in South Korea, we are projecting it is too close to call between DPK and UFP but the Democrats are slightly leading UFP at this stage. In the other hands, the Justice Party, People’s Party, Open Democrats would increase the seat numbers significantly compared to the last election. We are also putting the Progressives(Jinbo Party) up to a single seat.

_Poll+Error Projection

-Seat Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 140 Seats (-7 From August, -40 From Last Election)

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 125 Seats (+5 From August, +22 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 16 Seats (+1 From August +10 From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 10 Seats (+1 From August, +7 From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats (+0 From August, +6 From Last Election)

Progressive/Jinbo Party(JBP / Left-wing) : 0 Seats (+0 From August, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seats (+0 From August, -5 From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.22% (-1.00pp From August, -1.69pp From Last Election)

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 45.44% (+0.45pp From August, +3.53pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.93% (+0.29pp From August, +0.22pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.41% (+0.41pp From August, -1.51pp From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 38.00% (-0.35pp From August, +4.16pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 32.33% (-1.32pp From August, -2.86pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 11.15% (+0.61pp From August, +1.48pp From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 7.55% (+0.87pp From August, +0.75pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 6.64% (-0.89pp From August, +1.20pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.33% (+1.08pp From August, -6.58pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval

Approval48.31% (+1.14pp From August, -7.89pp From Last Election)

Disapproval51.69% (-1.14pp From August, +7.89pp From Last Election)

_Poll Only Projection

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.58%

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 34.38%

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 5.35%

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.20%

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 4.49%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.00%

-Presidential Approval

Approval50.38%

Disapproval49.62% 

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KQzI6Uh8rQJ5kUTsM8K_FxTJG2iWSydDK2qQiZeqNiY/

List of Nations For Working On Election Projections/Predictions : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

[United States Presidential Election]2020 September Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction

_Full Graphics

_Headline

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is ec8aaceb9dbcec9db4eb939c3-1.jpg

According to Globe Elections UN’s September Projection in the United States(America), we are projecting that Joe Biden will be elected as the next president. This also means incumbent Donald Trump will be defeated.

-Poll Only Projection(Nationwide)

-Vote Share Projection

Joe Biden(DP / Lean-Left) : 52.88% (+0.07pp From August, +4.70pp From Last Election)

Donald Trump(GOP / Right-wing Big Tent) : 44.67% (+0.57pp From August, -1.41pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.45% (-0.64pp From August, -3.28pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval Projection <Donald Trump>

Approval45.59% (+2.05pp From August)

Disapproval54.41% (-2.05pp From August)

_Swing Only Projection(Statewide)

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is ec8aaceb9dbcec9db4eb939c4-1.jpg

-Electoral Vote Projection

Joe Biden(DP / Lean-Left) : 350 E.V.s (+0 From August, +123 From Last Election)

Donald Trump(GOP / Right-wing Big Tent) : 188 E.V.s (+0 From August, -116 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 E.V.s (+0 From August, -7 From Last Election)

_Poll+Swing Projection(Statewide)

(Garphics Will Be Updated.)

-Electoral Vote Projection

Joe Biden(DP / Lean-Left) : 388 E.V.s (+0 From August, +161 From Last Election)

Donald Trump(GOP / Right-wing Big Tent) : 150 E.V.s (+0 From August, -154 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 E.V.s (+0 From August, -7 From Last Election)

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XZI0qd-LhOg5WaS1XEGvF38ohsL6kRjVIMNk-I3vK0U/

List of Nations For Working On Election Projections/Predictions : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

[South Korea General Election]2020 August Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction

_Video

_Headline

According to Globe Elections UN’s August Projection in South Korea, the Democrats will remain as the largest party, with the United Future Party following just behind. In the other hands, the Justice Party, Open Democrats, People’s Party would gain quite of seats. We are also putting the Progressives(Jinbo Party) up to 1 seat and there are still some possibilities that UFP comes over DPK.

_Poll+Error Projection

-Seat Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 147 Seats (-16 From July, -33 From Last Election)

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 120 Seats (+14 From July, +17 From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 15 Seats (+3 From July, +9 From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 9 Seats (-2 From July, +6 From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 9 Seats (+1 From July, +6 From Last Election)

Progressive/Jinbo Party(JBP / Left-wing) : 0 Seats (+0 From July, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seats (+0 From July, -5 From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 48.22% (-1.42pp From July, -1.69pp From Last Election)

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 44.99% (+1.87pp From July, +3.53pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 1.79% (+0.15pp From July, +0.08pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 5.00% (-0.60pp From July, -1.92pp From Last Election)

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 38.35% (+1.83pp From July, +4.51pp From Last Election)

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 33.65% (-0.78pp From July, +0.29pp From Last Election)

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 10.54% (+0.90pp From July, +0.87pp From Last Election)

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 7.53% (-1.16pp From July, +2.11pp From Last Election)

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 6.68% (-0.19pp From July, -0.12pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 3.25% (-0.60pp From July, -7.66pp From Last Election)

-Presidential Approval

Approval47.17% (-4.31pp From July, -9.03pp From Last Election)

Disapproval52.83% (+4.31pp From July, +9.03pp From Last Election)

_Poll Only Projection

-Proportional Vote Share Projection

Democratic Party(DPK / Lean-Left) : 47.42%

United Future Party(UFP / Center-Right) : 34.01%

Justice Party(JPK / Center-Left) : 6.64%

Open Democratic Party(ODP / Lean-Left) : 5.02%

People’s Party(PP / Lean-Right) : 4.45%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.46%

-Presidential Approval

Approval49.23%

Disapproval50.77% 

FULL DETAILS/RESULTS : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OedGyyANVLSUlUEAMw3nJLvQrcJAR7cQhitZKcElN1o/

List of Nations For Working On Election Projections/Predictions : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/